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GROWTH, TREND ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF FERTILISER CONSUMPTION AND CROPPED AREA FOR GANJAM DISTRICT BY USING DOUBLE ...
ISSN: 2277 - 7601
Publisher: author
GROWTH, TREND ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF FERTILISER CONSUMPTION AND CROPPED AREA FOR GANJAM DISTRICT BY USING DOUBLE ...
Indexed in
Agriculture and Food Sciences
ARTICLE-FACTOR
1.3
Article Basics Score: 3
Article Transparency Score: 3
Article Operation Score: 2
Article Articles Score: 2
Article Accessibility Score: 3
SUBMIT PAPER ASK QUESTION
International Category Code (ICC):
ICC-0202
Publisher: Multilogic In Science Multilogic In Science
International Journal Address (IAA):
IAA.ZONE/227737417601
eISSN
:
2277 - 7601
VALID
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Abstract
Abstract Annual time series secondary data pertaining to fertilizer consumption of macro nutrients N, P, K and cropped area during kharif, rabi and total (kharif+rabi) of Ganjam district were collected from the Directorate of Agriculture and Farmers’ Empowermentof Odisha and compiled over 22 years(1993-94 to 2014-15). Compound Growth Rate, Double Exponential Smoothing Trend analysis by Holt’s linear trend, Mann-Kendall non-parametric test for direction of trend (upward/downward) and Sen’s slope estimator for amount per year were computed. These time series variables were forecasted for the next three years (2015-16, 2016-17, 2017-18) from the fitted Holt’s linear trend model. The result revealed the presence of positive growth trend except rabi N, rabi K and total NPK fertiliser consumption. Absence of trend was observed in kharif and gross cropped area. The time series variables were forecasted by the best fitted Holt’s lin...
